Murphy’s Law
Jul. 26, 2022
Murphy’s law
Murphy’s law 1 is an adage or epigram that is typically stated as: “Anything that can go wrong will go wrong.” In some formulations, it is extended to “Anything that can go wrong will go wrong, and at the worst possible time.”
从数理统计的角度看2,假设某意外事件在一次实验(活动)中发生的概率 $p$($p>0$),则在 $n$ 次实验(活动)中至少有一次发生的概率 $P$ 为
\[P=1-(1-p)^n\notag\]当 $n\rightarrow\infty$ 时,$P=1$。
Murphy’s law in Nolan’s Interstellar
Murphy: Why did you and Mom name me after something that’s bad?
Cooper: We didn’t … Murphy’s Law doesn’t mean that something bad will happen. What it means is whatever can happen will happen. And that sounded just fine with us. 34
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